Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 2

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny (Aubagne)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aubagne		Bastia

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.10	1.98
	3.10	3.15	2.06
	3.69	3.36	2.07
	2.92	3.27	2.25	Watch
	3.70	3.35	2.01
	3.66	3.46	1.93	Watch
	3.40	3.15	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.02)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubagne
26.9%

Draw
28.2%

Bastia
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.8%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubagne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Aubagne - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Toure I. (G) 4. Valme R. 10. Cisse K. 18. Oudjani A. 6. Tafni A. 20. Bellebrahim A. 9. Zemoura Y. 22. Bouaziz W. 37. Faiz A. 26. Nehari M. (C) 24. Ahamada S.	1. De Percin T. (G) 2. Zilliox N. 9. Tomi F. 10. Sebas J. 4. Roncaglia A. (C) 12. Belal L. 7. Rodrigues C. 17. Eickmayer J. 13. Melieres C. 22. Monnier I. 20. Akueson G.
Substitutes
21. Ahamadi M. 28. Benosmane B. 5. Doucoure R. 7. Hattab S. 16. Moreira T. (G) 2. Sadi A. 27. Sahraoui J.	16. Contena S. (G) 25. Diarra D. 34. Djedje D. 23. Garnier E. 6. Janneh J. 14. Tamba D. 18. Zaouai A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Sebas J. ⚽, Eickmayer J. (A),
31', Bellebrahim A. 🟨,
44', Monnier I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bouaziz W. ↓, Sahraoui J. ↑,
50', Tafni A. 🟨,
56', Cisse K. 🟨,
60', Sadi A. ↓, Ahamada S. ↑,
63', Melieres C. 🟨,
68', Sebas J. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
69', Melieres C. ↓, Garnier E. ↑,
70', Ahamada S. 🟨,
72', Zemoura Y. ↓, Hattab S. ↑,
73', Rodrigues C. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
83', Tafni A. ↓, Benosmane B. ↑,
83', Faiz A. ↓, Ahamadi M. ↑,
88', Zaouai A. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Valme R. 🟨,

Preview

Aubagne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aubagne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Aubagne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Bastia	9	3	2	4	7:11	-4	11
16	Aubagne	9	2	1	6	6:12	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Aubagne - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 29.89%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Aubagne Air Bel
French Ligue 3
07.08.26	Aubagne - Thionville Lusitanos	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Toulon - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Aubagne - Bastia	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Montpellier - Aubagne	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
15.05.26	Aubagne - Caen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLW
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 3
07.08.26	Bastia - Le Puy	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Aubagne - Bastia	1:1 ✺
10.07.26	Rodez - Bastia	5:3 ✺
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Bastia - Le Mans	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Guingamp - Bastia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.26	Aubagne - Bastia	1:1

Aubagne - Bastia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide