Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern - Round 17

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Aubstadt		Eintracht Bamberg

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.2
	1.68	3.75	4.5
	1.69	3.95	4.42
	1.65	3.93	4.42
	1.64	3.7	4.62
	1.68	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.41)	3.8 ↓ (4.33)	4.44 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubstadt
55.1%

Draw
24.2%

Eintracht Bamberg
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

19.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aubstadt's form might have worsened.

Eintracht Bamberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eintracht Bamberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aubstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Bamberg than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eintracht Bamberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aubstadt - Eintracht Bamberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Weiss M. ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, Hemmerich L. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Gushcha R. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Maier L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
76', 3 - 2, Pfahlmann A. ⚽,
84', 4 - 2, Mrozek L. ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 2, Degelman O. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Aubstadt is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eintracht Bamberg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eintracht Bamberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aubstadt is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aubstadt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:2 (average 2.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Aubstadt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:0 (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
22.10.24	Buchbach - Aubstadt	3:2 ✺
19.10.24	Aubstadt - Hankofen-Hailing	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Aubstadt - Bayreuth	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Augsburg II - Aubstadt	0:3 ✺
03.10.24	Aubstadt - Vilzing	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWW
- FC Eintracht Bamberg
German Regionalliga Bayern
22.10.24	Eintracht Bamberg - Augsburg II	3:3 ✺
19.10.24	Vilzing - Eintracht Bamberg	3:0 ✺
15.10.24	Wacker Burghausen - Eintracht Bamberg	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Eintracht Bamberg - Würzburger Kickers	0:4 ✺
03.10.24	Eintracht Bamberg - Bayern Munich II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
04.11.23	Eintracht Bamberg - Aubstadt	0:3
28.07.23	Aubstadt - Eintracht Bamberg	2:0
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
07.11.15	Eintracht Bamberg - Aubstadt	2:1
22.07.15	Aubstadt - Eintracht Bamberg	4:0

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