Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Buchbach		Aubstadt

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.6	3.1
	2.04	3.85	3.22
	2.01	3.58	3.11
	2.14	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.05)	3.7 ↓ (3.79)	3.08 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buchbach
45%

Draw
25%

Aubstadt
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

24.1%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

24.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buchbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Buchbach - Aubstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Sturm S. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Hingerl K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 2 - 1, Heiland T. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Sturm S. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, Behr S. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 4, Helmer F. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Buchbach could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Buchbach won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 2.6:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.09.25	Ansbach - Buchbach	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Buchbach - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Memmingen - Buchbach	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Buchbach - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
29.08.25	Bayreuth - Buchbach	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTTWL
- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.09.25	Aubstadt - Illertissen	3:5 ✺
20.09.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	Unterhaching - Aubstadt	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Aubstadt - Augsburg II	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Vilzing - Aubstadt	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
10.05.25	Aubstadt - Buchbach	1:1
22.10.24	Buchbach - Aubstadt	3:2
18.05.24	Buchbach - Aubstadt	5:2
21.10.23	Aubstadt - Buchbach	3:1
25.03.23	Aubstadt - Buchbach	0:2
02.09.22	Buchbach - Aubstadt	2:4
16.04.22	Aubstadt - Buchbach	4:1

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