Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 26

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Aubstadt		Nürnberg II

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.5	2.35
	2.84	3.55	2.31
	2.74	3.59	2.26
	2.79	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.99)	3.51 ↑ (3.39)	2.29 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aubstadt
33.5%

Draw
26.2%

Nürnberg II
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

27%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26.2%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aubstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Nürnberg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Aubstadt - Nürnberg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Obiogumu D. U. ⚽,
80', Behr S. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Nürnberg II is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aubstadt won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aubstadt won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nurnberg II	11	4	1	6	21:17	4	13
18	Aubstadt	11	2	2	7	14:20	-6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
28.03.26	Aubstadt - Ansbach	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Augsburg II - Aubstadt	3:3 ✺
18.03.26	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Aubstadt - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Memmingen - Aubstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLL
- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
27.03.26	Augsburg II - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Vilzing - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Nürnberg II - Unterhaching	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Ansbach - Nürnberg II	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Nürnberg II - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
20.09.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	4:0
15.03.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	1:0
06.09.24	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	1:1
03.03.24	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	1:1
25.08.23	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	2:1
05.11.22	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	1:0
16.07.22	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	1:3

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