Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Auckland City		Team Wellington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.74	3.55	3.4
	1.76	3.75	3.65
	1.82	3.95	4.09
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.83	3.86	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.94)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	3.73 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland City
51%

Draw
24.6%

Team Wellington
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

18%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Team Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team Wellington than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Team Wellington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auckland City - Team Wellington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Auckland City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Auckland City have a series of home games.

Auckland City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Auckland City won 16 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 57-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Auckland City won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 38-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand Premiership
13.03.21	Auckland City - Eastern Suburbs	2:1 ✺
26.02.21	Auckland City - Waitakere United	2:2 ✺
19.02.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Auckland City	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Auckland City - Canterbury United	2:0 ✺
06.02.21	Auckland City - Team Wellington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTTWW
- Team Wellington
New Zealand Premiership
12.03.21	Team Wellington - Hamilton Wanderers	4:1 ✺
26.02.21	Team Wellington - Hamilton Wanderers	3:2 ✺
19.02.21	Canterbury United - Team Wellington	0:2 ✺
12.02.21	Team Wellington - Eastern Suburbs	7:0 ✺
06.02.21	Auckland City - Team Wellington	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
06.02.21	Auckland City - Team Wellington	3:1
05.12.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	2:2
25.01.20	Team Wellington - Auckland City	0:0
09.11.19	Auckland City - Team Wellington	2:2
23.03.19	Auckland City - Team Wellington	1:3
09.03.19	Team Wellington - Auckland City	1:2
13.10.18	Auckland City - Team Wellington	4:3

Auckland City - Team Wellington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide