Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Rio - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	14:45	BandSports


	Audax Rio		Maricá

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.5
	3	2.69	2.63
	2.92	2.74	2.63	Watch
	2.78	2.95	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.17)	2.81 ↓ (3.5)	2.55 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
32%

Draw
32.4%

Maricá
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

26%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Rio's form might have worsened.

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Rio than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Rio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Audax Rio - Maricá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audax Rio won 2.

Recent matches Audax Rio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maricá is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Audax Rio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Audax Rio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Audax Rio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Copa Rio
04.09.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
29.08.24	Audax Rio - Petrópolis	4:0 ✺
22.08.24	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
10.08.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	4:3 ✺
04.08.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWLW
- Maricá FC
Brazilian Copa Rio
04.09.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
28.08.24	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
25.08.24	Maricá - Olaria	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
21.08.24	Maricá - Portuguesa RJ	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
17.08.24	Olaria - Maricá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio
04.09.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
10.08.24	Maricá - Audax Rio	4:3
04.08.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	1:0
31.07.24	Audax Rio - Maricá	0:1
19.06.21	Audax Rio - Maricá	1:0
18.10.20	Maricá - Audax Rio	2:1

Audax Rio - Maricá