The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa RJ 32.3%
Draw 28.1%
Maricá 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
28.8%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
27.9%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa RJ's form might have worsened.
Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maricá's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maricá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Portuguesa RJ - Maricá Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Maricá will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Douglas Borges (G) 2. Lenon 4. Patrick 13. Lucas Costa (C) 33. Guilherme Santos 30. Wellington Cezar 17. Gutemberg 5. Henrique Rocha 7. Anderson Rosa 18. Rhuan Silveira 19. Lohan
1. Gerson Dida (G) 2. Magno Nunes 3. Sandro Silva 4. Landini E. 17. Mendes C. 8. Magno Souza 5. Matheus Lira 7. Almir Silva 10. Marcelo 11. Oliver 9. Pablo Thomaz (C)
Substitutes
20. Albert 6. Alex Moretti 66. Alex Reinaldo 16. Elicley 11. Guilherme Silveira 15. Gustavo Aguiar 8. Joao Paulo 31. Leo Muchacho 10. Romarinho 9. Uelber 12. Vinicius Barreta (G) 21. Willian
19. Alex Azeredo 14. Bernardo 16. Fernandes L. B. 25. Julio Cesar (G) 23. Octavio Manteca 20. Quinonez A. 6. Rafael Carioca 18. Rafael Lucas 21. Valdenilson 13. Victor Pereira 15. Vinicius Matheus 12. Yuri Duarte (G)
Coaches
Sampaio A.
Cravo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Rhuan Silveira 🟨,
18', Almir Silva 🟨,
35', Henrique Rocha 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
46', Rhuan Silveira ↓, Guilherme Silveira ↑,
46', Henrique Rocha ↓, Willian ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Guilherme Santos ⚽, Anderson Rosa (A),
49', Guilherme Santos 🟨,
50', Magno Nunes ↓, Bernardo ↑,
50', Matheus Lira ↓, Rafael Lucas ↑,
50', Mendes C. 🟨,
51', 2 - 0, Gutemberg ⚽, Guilherme Silveira (A),
59', Oliver ↓, Valdenilson ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Pablo Thomaz ⚽, Valdenilson (A),
68', 2 - 2, Valdenilson ⚽,
69', Almir Silva ↓, Vinicius Matheus ↑,
71', Lohan 🟨,
75', 3 - 2, Willian ⚽, Anderson Rosa (A),
76', Willian 🟨,
80', Bernardo 🟨,
82', 4 - 2, Lohan ⚽, Anderson Rosa (A),
84', Anderson Rosa ↓, Leo Muchacho ↑,
84', Gutemberg ↓, Romarinho ↑,
84', Lohan ↓, Albert ↑,
90', 5 - 2, Lenon ⚽, Guilherme Silveira (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa RJ won 3.
Portuguesa RJ is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Maricá's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Portuguesa RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa RJ won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa RJ won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Brazil
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Douglas Borges (G) 
Quinonez A. 
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