Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 5

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ronaldo Luis Nazario de Lima (Figueira de Melo) (Rio de Janeiro)


	Audax Rio		Serrano FC

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.6	2.5
	2.52	2.98	2.82
	3.17	2.63	2.45
	14.57	6.53	1.16	Watch
	2.9	2.6	2.45
	2.51	2.86	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (2.4)	3.37 ↑ (2.9)	2.35 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audax Rio
22.5%

Draw
31.9%

Serrano FC
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audax Rio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Audax Rio's form might have worsened.

Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serrano FC's recent form is better than expected.

Audax Rio - Serrano FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Davi Santos ⚽,
36', 🟥,
45+8', 0 - 2, Abner ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 2, Joao Lucas ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Audax Rio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Audax Rio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Audax Rio
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
16.05.26	Bonsucesso - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Audax Rio - Araruama	3:2 ✺
06.05.26	Audax Rio - America RJ	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Olaria - Audax Rio	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Audax Rio - America RJ	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLL
- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
16.05.26	Cabofriense - Serrano FC	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Serrano FC - Olaria	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Araruama - Serrano FC	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Carioca B1
06.12.25	Bonsucesso - Serrano FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
03.07.24	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	2:1
23.09.20	Serrano FC - Audax Rio	0:1

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