Match Info

Carioca B1 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Bonsucesso		Serrano FC

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.82	3.2
	2.67	2.6	2.87
	2.14	2.86	3.61	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.06	2.69	4.47
	2.08	2.62	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.04)	2.68 ↓ (2.92)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonsucesso
40.1%

Draw
34.2%

Serrano FC
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31.2%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

31.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonsucesso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonsucesso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Bonsucesso - Serrano FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bonsucesso will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonsucesso (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Bonsucesso (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonsucesso (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Bonsucesso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Serrano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Bonsucesso has had a series of away games.

Recently, Serrano has had a series of home games.

Bonsucesso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bonsucesso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonsucesso FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
30.11.25	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Bonsucesso - Duque de Caxias	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Duque de Caxias - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Carapebus Campos - Bonsucesso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Carioca B1
30.11.25	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	São Cristóvão - Serrano FC	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
30.11.25	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	2:1
08.11.25	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	1:0

Bonsucesso - Serrano FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide