Match Info

Date: 9 March 2022, Wednesday


	Auerbach		Altglienicke

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.55
	4.1	3.8	1.67
	4.1	3.95	1.69
	4.44	4.24	1.66
	5	4.2	1.5
	4.35	4.35	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (4.85)	4.11 ↓ (4.23)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auerbach
20.9%

Draw
22.4%

Altglienicke
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

21.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

17.8%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auerbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Altglienicke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auerbach than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auerbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altglienicke than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altglienicke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Auerbach - Altglienicke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auerbach won 0.

Recent matches Auerbach is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Altglienicke is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Auerbach could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Altglienicke have a series of home games.

In this match Altglienicke is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Auerbach won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Auerbach won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Auerbach
German Regionalliga Nordost
04.03.22	Auerbach - Tasmania Berlin	9:1 ✺
26.02.22	Meuselwitz - Auerbach	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Auerbach - Germania Halberstadt	2:5 ✺
16.02.22	Auerbach - Union Fürstenwalde	3:1 ✺
12.02.22	Eilenburg - Auerbach	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWT
- VSG Altglienicke
German Regionalliga Nordost
06.03.22	Altglienicke - Energie Cottbus	3:0 ✺
02.03.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Altglienicke	1:3 ✺
13.02.22	Altglienicke - Berliner AK 07	4:1 ✺
09.02.22	Altglienicke - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Altglienicke - Tennis Borussia Berlin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.08.21	Altglienicke - Auerbach	3:1
05.09.20	Altglienicke - Auerbach	2:1
13.12.19	Auerbach - Altglienicke	0:5
30.07.19	Altglienicke - Auerbach	4:1
13.03.19	Auerbach - Altglienicke	3:3
08.08.18	Altglienicke - Auerbach	1:1
10.12.17	Auerbach - Altglienicke	1:1

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