Match Info

Oberliga NOFV- Sud - Round 14

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	Auerbach		Freital

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.55	1.36
	7.4	4.55	1.34	Watch
	4.5	4.35	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↑ (4.1)	4.48 ↑ (3.87)	1.42 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auerbach
14.9%

Draw
20.4%

Freital
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

23.5%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auerbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auerbach's form might have worsened.

Freital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Freital's recent form is better than expected.

Auerbach - Freital Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Nordost).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auerbach won 3.

Recent performances by Auerbach have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In this match, Freital is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Auerbach won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Auerbach won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Auerbach	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
11	Freital	4	1	1	2	6:7	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Auerbach
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
18.03.26	Auerbach - Germania Halberstadt	3:2 ✺
05.12.25	Budissa Bautzen - Auerbach	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Auerbach - Plauen	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Krieschow - Auerbach	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Auerbach - Union Sandersdorf	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWT
- SC Freital
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
14.02.26	Bischofswerdaer - Freital	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Freital - Grimma	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Freital - RSV Eintracht	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Halle - Freital	0:1 ✺
31.10.25	Freital - Budissa Bautzen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
12.03.25	Auerbach - Freital	1:1
24.08.24	Freital - Auerbach	1:2
02.06.24	Freital - Auerbach	1:3
24.11.23	Auerbach - Freital	5:1
04.02.23	Freital - Auerbach	1:0
12.08.22	Auerbach - Freital	1:1

Auerbach - Freital: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide