Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 21

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Augšdaugavas		Rēzekne

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.68
	4.23	4.29	1.62	Watch
	2.3	3.69	2.66	Watch
	2.2	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.26)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	2.4 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augšdaugavas
34.9%

Draw
25.5%

Rēzekne
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

24.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

24.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augšdaugavas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Augšdaugavas's form might have worsened.

Rēzekne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augšdaugavas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augšdaugavas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rēzekne than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Augšdaugavas - Rēzekne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Fastov A. (G) 2. Borisovs E. 26. Buks R. 10. Churney D. 3. Kharchilava S. 22. Kirikovs A. (C) 23. Kokins O. O. 9. Linards R. 99. Quaye D. 11. Shokun O. 7. Volosovs T.	16. Maslobojevs A. (G) 7. Aogaki S. 18. Galajs A. 15. Ivenkovs P. (C) 10. Petrovs A. 8. Plotka R. 17. Rahman A. 11. Sako A. 34. Stivrins V. 22. Timofejevs G. 14. Visnakovs D.
Substitutes
5. Bleive J. 16. Esenvalds E. 77. Haritonovs M. 70. Kitsel V. 21. Kokins K. 8. Kovalovs A. 14. Neverovskis K. 44. Orss-Orlovskis M.	20. Aborkins V. 4. Bogdanovs A. 3. Hscanovics R. 13. Jierkis R. 27. Poznaks P. 29. Rivcs E. 23. Silkans G. (G) 19. Zukovs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Galajs A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Shokun O. ↓, Kovalovs A. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Aogaki S. ⚽,
59', Buks R. ↓, Kokins K. ↑,
62', Quaye D. 🟨,
70', Linards R. 🟨,
73', Volosovs T. ↓, Haritonovs M. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Rahman A. ⚽,
77', 0 - 4, Aogaki S. ⚽,
80', Visnakovs D. ↓, Poznaks P. ↑,
86', Kokins O. O. 🟨,
87', Plotka R. ↓, Rivcs E. ↑,
87', Petrovs A. ↓, Hscanovics R. ↑,
89', 0 - 5, Aogaki S. ⚽,
90', Galajs A. ↓, Jierkis R. ↑,
90', Aogaki S. ↓, Zukovs D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Augšdaugava has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rēzekne has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Augšdaugava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augšdaugavas NSS
Latvian 1 Liga
21.09.25	Augšdaugavas - Tukums 2000 2	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ogre United - Augšdaugavas	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Augšdaugavas - JFK Ventspils	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:3 ✺
10.08.25	Augšdaugavas - Leevon PPK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLTW
- Rēzeknes BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
21.09.25	Rēzekne - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Rēzekne	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Rēzekne - Riga 2	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Ogre United - Rēzekne	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rēzekne - JDFS Alberts	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
18.05.25	Rēzekne - Augšdaugavas	1:0

Augšdaugavas - Rēzekne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide