Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 18

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Augšdaugavas		JFK Ventspils

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.25	1.42
	6.47	4.45	1.39
	6.33	4.33	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↑ (5.44)	4.34 ↓ (4.75)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augšdaugavas
14.6%

Draw
20.8%

JFK Ventspils
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

19.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

18.7%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augšdaugavas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

JFK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augšdaugavas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JFK Ventspils than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Augšdaugavas - JFK Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fastov A. (G) 2. Borisovs E. 26. Buks R. 10. Churney D. 22. Kirikovs A. 16. Lemonjava G. 11. Pinaskins E. 99. Quaye D. 15. Rublevskis M. (C) 33. Sokolovs V. 7. Volosovs T.	1. Petrovs A. (C) 7. Aliyu A. 14. Bojaruns V. 22. Essennouni Y. 5. Feldmans M. 6. Hounlete P. 17. Liepajnieks V. 23. Lucins A. 10. Okeke A. 19. Svarups K. 15. Veidemanis R.
Substitutes
5. Bleive J. 27. Cemodanovs K. 70. Kitsel V. 14. Neverovskis K. 44. Orss-Orlovskis M. 25. Petersons M. 8. Shokun O. 20. Vinokurovs A.	20. Dembele M. 11. Gaisins J. 18. Kicigins I. 9. Markovs K. 16. Mukaev A. (G) 29. Solomonovs N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Quaye D. 🟨,
42', Lucins A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Okeke A. ⚽,
55', Rublevskis M. 🟨,
75', Kirikovs A. 🟨,
82', 0 - 2, Dembele M. ⚽,
90', Petersons M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Nakotnes liga (Relegation) and 4).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Augšdaugava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, JFK Ventspils is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Augšdaugava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augšdaugavas NSS
Latvian 1 Liga
23.08.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:3 ✺
10.08.25	Augšdaugavas - Leevon PPK	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Augšdaugavas - Mārupe	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Augšdaugavas - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Augšdaugavas - Riga 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLLW
- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
22.08.25	JFK Ventspils - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Ogre United - JFK Ventspils	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	JFK Ventspils - Rēzekne	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	JFK Ventspils - Olaine	5:0 ✺
19.07.25	JFK Ventspils - Leevon PPK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
27.04.25	JFK Ventspils - Augšdaugavas	2:0

Augšdaugavas - JFK Ventspils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide