Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday


	Augsburg II		Pipinsried

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	4
	1.63	4.1	4.1
	1.64	4.2	4.1
	1.63	4.37	4.52
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	1.6	4.4	4.6
	1.64	4.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.13)	4.08 ↑ (3.35)	4.07 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg II
54.7%

Draw
22.6%

Pipinsried
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg II's performance.

Pipinsried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pipinsried might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg II than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Augsburg II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pipinsried than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pipinsried could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Augsburg II - Pipinsried Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Augsburg II will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Pipinsried will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg II: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Augsburg II won 2.

Recent matches Augsburg II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pipinsried has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Augsburg II is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Augsburg II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Augsburg II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augsburg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.22	Nürnberg II - Augsburg II	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Augsburg II - Hankofen-Hailing	4:0 ✺
24.09.22	Würzburger Kickers - Augsburg II	6:3 ✺
20.09.22	Rain am Lech - Augsburg II	1:0 ✺
16.09.22	Augsburg II - Aubstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLLT
- FC Pipinsried
German Regionalliga Bayern
03.10.22	Pipinsried - Illertissen	0:3 ✺
30.09.22	Buchbach - Pipinsried	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Pipinsried - Schweinfurt	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Unterhaching - Pipinsried	2:0 ✺
09.09.22	Pipinsried - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
06.11.21	Augsburg II - Pipinsried	2:0
24.07.21	Pipinsried - Augsburg II	3:1
13.04.19	Pipinsried - Augsburg II	0:3
21.09.18	Augsburg II - Pipinsried	1:2
14.03.18	Augsburg II - Pipinsried	1:1
12.08.17	Pipinsried - Augsburg II	0:4

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