Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday


	Pipinsried		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.6
	2.28	3.35	2.75
	2.34	3.55	2.65
	2.54	3.64	2.56
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.47	3.58	2.59
	2.34	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	2.64 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pipinsried
38.9%

Draw
26.4%

Illertissen
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pipinsried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pipinsried's form might have worsened.

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illertissen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pipinsried than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pipinsried, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illertissen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	15.4%	30.8%

Pipinsried - Illertissen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pipinsried will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Illertissen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pipinsried: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pipinsried won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Pipinsried will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Pipinsried won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pipinsried won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pipinsried
German Regionalliga Bayern
30.09.22	Buchbach - Pipinsried	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Pipinsried - Schweinfurt	0:2 ✺
17.09.22	Unterhaching - Pipinsried	2:0 ✺
09.09.22	Pipinsried - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	2:4 ✺
03.09.22	Vilzing - Pipinsried	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLLT
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
30.09.22	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hankofen-Hailing - Illertissen	3:0 ✺
16.09.22	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	0:6 ✺
10.09.22	Aubstadt - Illertissen	4:1 ✺
02.09.22	Illertissen - Greuther Fürth II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
05.03.22	Illertissen - Pipinsried	1:0
17.08.21	Pipinsried - Illertissen	1:4
09.03.19	Illertissen - Pipinsried	4:0
18.08.18	Pipinsried - Illertissen	1:1
21.04.18	Illertissen - Pipinsried	0:0
14.10.17	Pipinsried - Illertissen	1:1

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