Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Augsburg II		Viktoria Aschaffenburg

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.45	5.15
	1.51	4.5	5.29
	1.5	4.54	5.03
	1.5	4	5
	1.45	4.4	5.43
	1.69	3.81	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.69)	4.28 ↑ (3.83)	4.99 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg II
60.2%

Draw
21.4%

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

23.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Augsburg II's performance.

Viktoria Aschaffenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg II than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Augsburg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Desch R. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Baier B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg II won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Augsburg II is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Augsburg II won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Augsburg II	12	4	3	5	18:26	-8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augsburg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.04.26	Eichstätt - Augsburg II	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Augsburg II - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Augsburg II - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Augsburg II - Aubstadt	3:3 ✺
17.03.26	Unterhaching - Augsburg II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Viktoria Aschaffenburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
06.04.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Unterhaching	0:3 ✺
01.04.26	Vilzing - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Würzburger Kickers - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Ansbach	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Memmingen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
27.09.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Augsburg II	3:2
21.03.25	Augsburg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	2:1
13.09.24	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Augsburg II	0:0
19.04.24	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Augsburg II	1:1
03.10.23	Augsburg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:2
11.11.22	Augsburg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:2
22.07.22	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Augsburg II	2:1

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