The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Augsburg II 35.5%
Draw 27%
Illertissen 37.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.8%
24.6%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Augsburg II - Illertissen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Cassaniti N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Malaj A. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Bahn B. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg II won 1.
Performances by Illertissen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Illertissen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Augsburg II has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:26 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Augsburg II against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Augsburg II
15
7
3
5
27:28
-1
24
6
Illertissen
15
6
5
4
26:18
8
23
Last Results with these Odds
Illertissen - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.