Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 26

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Augsburg II		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.65	2.15
	2.94	3.87	2.16
	2.72	3.94	2.15
	2.77	3.68	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.77)	3.79 ↑ (3.67)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Augsburg II
32.8%

Draw
24.3%

Illertissen
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Augsburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg II than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Augsburg II - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Milic D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg II won 1.

Augsburg II has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Illertissen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Augsburg II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg II won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg II won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18
12	Augsburg II	12	4	3	5	18:26	-8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Augsburg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
27.03.26	Augsburg II - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Augsburg II - Aubstadt	3:3 ✺
17.03.26	Unterhaching - Augsburg II	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Augsburg II - Würzburger Kickers	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Bayern Munich II - Augsburg II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
21.03.26	Ansbach - Illertissen	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Illertissen - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Unterhaching - Illertissen	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Illertissen - Memmingen	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Austria Lustenau - Illertissen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
19.09.25	Illertissen - Augsburg II	0:3
08.11.24	Illertissen - Augsburg II	0:0
26.07.24	Augsburg II - Illertissen	0:0
30.03.24	Augsburg II - Illertissen	2:2
15.09.23	Illertissen - Augsburg II	3:1
25.02.23	Augsburg II - Illertissen	1:2
12.08.22	Illertissen - Augsburg II	1:5

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