Match Info

Date: 30 October 2021, Saturday


	Austin Bold		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.5	3.25	1.9
	3	3.25	2.08
	3.31	3.34	2.16
	3.28	3.32	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.26)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	2.04 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin Bold
27.9%

Draw
27.6%

Charlotte Independence
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

21.4%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin Bold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin Bold than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin Bold that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Austin Bold - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Austin has the most likely position - 6 (96.36%), has project points - 42, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Austin is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Charlotte Independence is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Austin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Austin have a series of guest games.

Recently Charlotte Independence have a series of home games.

Charlotte Independence will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin Bold
USL Championship
23.10.21	San Antonio - Austin Bold	0:0 ✺
20.10.21	El Paso Locomotive - Austin Bold	3:0 ✺
16.10.21	Real Monarchs - Austin Bold	4:3 ✺
13.10.21	Birmingham Legion - Austin Bold	3:1 ✺
10.10.21	Austin Bold - Oklahoma City Energy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLLT
- Charlotte Independence
USL Championship
27.10.21	Charlotte Independence - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
22.10.21	Hartford Athletic - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Charlotte Independence - Charleston Battery	5:1 ✺
09.10.21	Charlotte Independence - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Charlotte Independence - Loudoun United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

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