Match Info

Date: 22 October 2021, Friday


	Hartford Athletic		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.83
	3.2	3.5	1.95
	3.25	3.5	1.9
	3.49	3.6	1.94
	3.36	3.72	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.12)	3.56 ↑ (3.46)	1.91 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
27%

Draw
25.5%

Charlotte Independence
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.4%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

20.3%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hartford Athletic - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Hartford has the most likely position - 5 (62.36%), has project points - 41, has currently - 37, has not chance of playoffs.

Recent matches Hartford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Charlotte Independence is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Charlotte Independence could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Charlotte Independence will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
16.10.21	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
13.10.21	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	2:3 ✺
10.10.21	Charleston Battery - Hartford Athletic	4:3 ✺
06.10.21	New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic	2:2 ✺
30.09.21	Hartford Athletic - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLTL
- Charlotte Independence
USL Championship
16.10.21	Charlotte Independence - Charleston Battery	5:1 ✺
09.10.21	Charlotte Independence - New York Red Bulls 2	2:1 ✺
03.10.21	Charlotte Independence - Loudoun United	5:1 ✺
30.09.21	Hartford Athletic - Charlotte Independence	1:2 ✺
26.09.21	Birmingham Legion - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.09.21	Hartford Athletic - Charlotte Independence	1:2
11.09.21	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	2:0
13.06.21	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	3:2
28.09.19	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	4:0
04.05.19	Hartford Athletic - Charlotte Independence	1:1

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