The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austria Salzburg 30.8%
Draw 26.6%
First Vienna 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
26.7%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
26%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austria Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
First Vienna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for First Vienna than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Austria Salzburg - First Vienna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nesler-Taubl S. (G) 70. Crnkic T. 71. Gebauer C. 19. Hofer R. 11. Huetz C. 4. Kahrimanovic D. 55. Meisl L. (C) 22. Pfeffer T. 60. Pirkl S. 2. Rohrmoser T. 3. Spitali S.
1. Unger B. (G) 10. Anselm T. 25. Bauer J. (C) 4. Breit P. 23. Gantschnig M. 9. Jung I. 24. Marte R. 19. Prohart F. 17. Rosenberger B. 11. Soukouna Y. 66. Ungar D.
Substitutes
13. Bauer P. (G) 77. Bijelic D. 20. Eder M. 9. Lukasser Weitlaner N. 6. Schandl T.
26. Fillafer M. 22. Gruber T. 99. Loschy M. 32. Luckeneder F. 8. Luxbacher B. 7. Monschein C. 6. Mrzljak F. 3. Winter M. 18. Zimmermann B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Spitali S. 🟨,
18', Meisl L. ↓, Schandl T. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Marte R. ⚽,
41', Jung I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Jung I. ↓, Fillafer M. ↑,
49', Breit P. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Ungar D. ⚽,
58', Spitali S. ↓, Eder M. ↑,
58', Pfeffer T. ↓, Lukasser Weitlaner N. ↑,
66', Ungar D. ↓, Mrzljak F. ↑,
66', Breit P. ↓, Gruber T. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Anselm T. ⚽,
72', Soukouna Y. ↓, Zimmermann B. ↑,
74', Pirkl S. ↓, Bijelic D. ↑,
79', Anselm T. ↓, Luxbacher B. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 4, Zimmermann B. ⚽,
Preview
Austria Salzburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
First Vienna is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Austria Salzburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Austria Salzburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
First Vienna - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.