Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Autol		Yagüe

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.88	3.61	1.81
	3.75	3.3	1.83
	3.9	3.5	1.79
	4	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.36)	3.46 ↑ (3.13)	1.81 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Autol
23.6%

Draw
26.2%

Yagüe
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.8%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

28.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Autol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yagüe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Autol than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yagüe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Autol - Yagüe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Autol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yagüe is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Autol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1.3:3.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Yague	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Autol
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
10.01.26	Berceo - Autol	5:0 ✺
04.01.26	Autol - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Oyonesa - Autol	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Anguiano - Autol	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Autol - Haro Deportivo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LTLLW
- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
10.01.26	Calahorra - Yagüe	6:0 ✺
03.01.26	Yagüe - Berceo	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Yagüe - Comillas	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Yagüe - Vianés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.09.25	Yagüe - Autol	4:0
02.11.24	Yagüe - Autol	4:0
24.03.19	Yagüe - Autol	3:4

Autol - Yagüe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide