Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Yagüe

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.65	6.3
	1.41	4.67	6.17
	1.4	4.63	6.29	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.77	6.05
	1.38	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	4.63 ↑ (4.4)	6.22 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
65.5%

Draw
19.8%

Yagüe
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+1%)

The ML Model estimate for Yagüe aligns with the current prediction.

UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD L Promesas won 2.

UD L Promesas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Yagüe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, UD L Promesas is the obvious favorite.

We predict that UD L Promesas will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, UD L Promesas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, UD L Promesas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.12.25	Oyonesa - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Pradejón	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Anguiano - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Agoncillo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWTT
- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.12.25	Yagüe - Vianés	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Oyonesa - Yagüe	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Yagüe - San Marcial	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Anguiano - Yagüe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
03.05.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	8:0
22.12.24	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1
28.03.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	1:0
20.01.21	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0
05.10.19	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0
26.01.19	UD Logroñés Promesas - Yagüe	0:1
08.09.18	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:0

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