Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Auxerre		Lorient

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.9
	2.48	3.2	2.98
	2.47	3.35	3.13
	2.35	3.38	2.97	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.88
	2.52	3.44	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.36)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	3 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
39.4%

Draw
28.8%

Lorient
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

27.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	30.4%	21.7%

Auxerre - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Lorient will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Auxerre (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Lorient (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Auxerre will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Lorient (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 3. Osho G. 4. Sierralta F. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 7. Casimir J. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 23. Osman I. 10. Sinayoko L.	21. Kamara B. (G) 5. Mendy F. 3. Talbi M. 2. Igor Silva 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 62. Avom A. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 15. Tosin A. 9. Bamba M. 10. Pagis P.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 9. Bair T. 21. Coulibaly L. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 34. Matondo R. 45. Onaiwu A. 22. Oppegard F. 27. Sy L.	29. Karim D. 77. Katseris P. 33. Leandais L. 11. Le Bris T. 1. Leroy B. (G) 17. Makengo J. 97. Siba S. 28. Soumano S. 44. Yongwa D.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Pagis P. 🟨,
45', Igor Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Osman I. (A),
61', Senaya M. 🟨,
65', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
65', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
66', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Katseris P. ↑,
70', Casimir J. (Pen),
75', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
82', Osman I. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
82', Casimir J. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
88', Owusu E. 🟨,
89', Sinayoko L. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
90', Mensah G. ↓, Oppegard F. ↑,
90+2', Oppegard F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Diomande S. (Suspended) Siwe T. (Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Cadiou N. (Muscle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Toure I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Auxerre: El Azzouzi O. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Auxerre - Levante	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Auxerre - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
30.07.25	Grenoble - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Clermont - Auxerre	2:3 ✺
18.07.25	Auxerre - Orleans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWW
- FC Lorient
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Angers - Lorient	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Swansea City - Lorient	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Guingamp - Lorient	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Lorient - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Lorient - Fleury 91	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.02.23	Lorient - Auxerre	0:1
16.09.22	Auxerre - Lorient	1:3
French Ligue 2
13.12.19	Lorient - Auxerre	1:0
29.04.19	Lorient - Auxerre	2:2
03.12.18	Auxerre - Lorient	0:0
17.02.18	Lorient - Auxerre	1:3
19.09.17	Auxerre - Lorient	1:0

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