Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Le Havre		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.52	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.53	3.13	3.31
	2.47	3.04	3.14	Watch
	2.45	3	2.9
	2.63	3.19	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.36)	3.07 ↓ (3.13)	3.08 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
37.9%

Draw
31.1%

Auxerre
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Le Havre - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Auxerre will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 93. Sangante A. (C) 15. Seko A. 4. Lloris G. 7. Nego L. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 26. Ebonog S. 18. Zouaoui Y. 14. Ndiaye R. 45. Soumare I. 17. Boufal S.	40. De Percin T. (G) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 24. Okoh B. 14. Mensah G. 42. Owusu E. (C) 5. Danois K. 28. Faivre R. 19. Namaso D. 22. Oppegard F. 10. Sinayoko L.
Substitutes
50. Argney P. (G) 13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 30. Khadra R. 11. Kyeremeh G. 78. Mosengo D. N. 32. Pembele T. 25. Samatta A. 29. Zagadou S.	8. Ahamada N. 92. Akpa C. 7. Casimir J. 18. Diousse A. 9. Mara S. 30. Negrel T. (G) 29. Senaya M. 4. Sierralta F. 13. Siwe T.
Coaches
Digard D.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Namaso D. (A),
17', Sangante A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Ebonog S. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Boufal S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
77', Ebonog S. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
78', Oppegard F. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
79', Namaso D. 🟨,
86', Owusu E. 🟨,
86', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
90+1', Namaso D. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
90+4', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 4.

Le Havre has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Auxerre has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Le Havre: Mpasi-Nzau L. (Inactive) Toure A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Injury) Leon D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Soumare I. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Casimir J. (Inactive) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Auxerre: 0.22% Le Havre: 0.18%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
22.03.26	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Le Havre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lorient - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.10.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	0:1
04.05.25	Auxerre - Le Havre	1:2
01.09.24	Le Havre - Auxerre	3:1
French Ligue 2
07.05.22	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:2
21.12.21	Auxerre - Le Havre	2:3
05.04.21	Auxerre - Le Havre	1:1
01.12.20	Le Havre - Auxerre	1:1

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