The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Le Havre 41.8%
Draw 26.8%
Auxerre 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.4%
27.7%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
28.4%
31.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.8%
23.1%
23.1%
Le Havre - Auxerre Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Auxerre will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 26.7% โ 80.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Le Havre (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Gallon G. (G) 20. Ouziad D. 6. Mwanga J. 5. Touba A. 97. N'Diaye M. 14. Ndiaye R. (C) 26. Ebonog S. 7. Richardson A. 30. Nakamura S. 9. Maja J. 25. Samatta A.
1. Nardi P. (G) 15. Makosso C. 4. Tuanzebe A. 92. Akpa C. 27. Sy L. 8. Ahamada N. 5. Danois K. (C) 22. Oppegard F. 21. Faivre R. 10. Namaso D. 9. Archer C.
Substitutes
16. Bodart A. (G) 44. Bouneb I. 33. Dongopandji H. 38. Fofana R. 17. Mizuta K. 78. Mosengo D. N. 23. Sasso V. 27. Vinette E. K. 24. Zohouri G.
44. Cissokho M. 20. Diomande S. 23. Diop M. (G) 34. Dioubate L. 17. Ekwah P. 47. Khoudda Y. 35. Legros E. 46. Piedfort A. 77. Zossou A.
Coaches
Digard D.
Still W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Namaso D. ⚽, Danois K. (A),
43', Akpa C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Ahamada N. 🟨,
54', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Namaso D. ⚽, Faivre R. (A),
62', Maja J. ↓, Dongopandji H. ↑,
62', Nakamura S. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
62', N'Diaye M. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Fofana R. ⚽, Dongopandji H. (A),
80', 1 - 3, Faivre R. ⚽, Namaso D. (A),
82', Ahamada N. ↓, Piedfort A. ↑,
84', Ouziad D. ↓, Mizuta K. ↑,
85', Ndiaye R. ↓, Zohouri G. ↑,
89', Sy L. ↓, Legros E. ↑,
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Ligue 2 and 16th in the Ligue 1 Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Le Havre (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Auxerre has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Le Havre could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Le Havre is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Le Havre: Jelert E.
(Thigh Injury)
Mambimbi F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mpasi-Nzau L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pembele T.
(Muscle Injury)
Seko A.
(Red Card)
Toure A.
(Knee Injury)
Zagadou S.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Auxerre: Diousse A.
(Knee Injury)
Fofana S.
(Groin Injury)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Injury)
Okoh B.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Le Havre: Fofana R.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Auxerre: Akpa C.
(Injury)
Mandengue R.
(Muscle Injury)
Senaya M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Siwe T.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Le Havre has recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:16 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Le Havre against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).