Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 13

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Avance Ezcabarte		Cortes

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	2.8	2.91	2.48
	2.8	2.91	2.48
	2.85	2.89	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.77)	2.92 ↑ (2.84)	2.4 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avance Ezcabarte
31.3%

Draw
31%

Cortes
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

31.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

32.5%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avance Ezcabarte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avance Ezcabarte than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Avance Ezcabarte is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cortes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Avance Ezcabarte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Avance Ezcabarte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Avance Ezcabarte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.11.23	Cantolagua - Avance Ezcabarte	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Avance Ezcabarte - Bidezarra	2:2
12.11.23	Lagunak - Avance Ezcabarte	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Avance Ezcabarte - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Txantrea - Avance Ezcabarte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 TTTTW
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.11.23	Cortes - Beti Kozkor	3:0 ✺
18.11.23	Lerines - Cortes	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Cortes - Cirbonero	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Peña Sport - Cortes	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Cantolagua - Cortes	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.01.23	Avance Ezcabarte - Cortes	1:2
10.09.22	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	1:0
02.04.22	Avance Ezcabarte - Cortes	1:2
27.11.21	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	1:1

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