Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 24

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday


	Peña Sport		Cortes

	1	X	2
	1.47	4	5.25
	1.38	4.25	6.7
	1.37	4.74	6.82
	1.38	4.59	6.8	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.47	4.66	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)	4.41 ↑ (4.18)	6.38 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
65%

Draw
20.7%

Cortes
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

21.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+1%)

Peña Sport - Cortes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 1.

In recent matches, Peña Sport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cortes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Peña Sport is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Sport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.03.26	Peña Sport - Egüés	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Huarte - Peña Sport	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Oberena - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Peña Sport - Izarra	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.03.26	Ardoi - Cortes	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cortes - Beti Kozkor	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cortes - Egüés	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Huarte - Cortes	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Aoiz - Cortes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
19.10.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	2:1
07.06.25	Cortes - Peña Sport	3:0 ET
31.05.25	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:0
30.11.24	Cortes - Peña Sport	2:1
23.03.24	Cortes - Peña Sport	1:0
04.11.23	Peña Sport - Cortes	0:0
19.02.23	Peña Sport - Cortes	2:0

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