Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	Avangard Kursk		Saransk

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.97	3.37	2.09
	3.1	3.32	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)	3.3 ↑ (3.12)	2.2 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
31.3%

Draw
27.5%

Saransk
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.2%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.3%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Saransk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saransk than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	23.1%	30.8%

Avangard Kursk - Saransk Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Avangard Kursk will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Saransk will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Avangard Kursk: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7).

Recent matches Avangard Kursk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saransk is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.04.22	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Avangard Kursk - Peresvet Domodedovo	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Rodina Moscow - Avangard Kursk	6:2 ✺
09.04.22	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	0:3 ✺
02.04.22	Khimki 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLT
- FC Saransk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
30.04.22	Saransk - Dynamo Vladivostok	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Sokol Saratov - Saransk	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	Saransk - Dynamo Bryansk	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Ryazan - Saransk	0:3 ✺
02.04.22	Saransk - Salyut Belgorod	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLWL

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