Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	06:00	SportsEngine Play


	Avangard Kursk		Strogino Moskva

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.59	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	4.06 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
51.4%

Draw
25.8%

Strogino Moskva
22.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.9%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

27.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Strogino Moskva have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moskva than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
61', 0 - 1, Chelyshev N. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, Balitsky E. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Komarov D. ⚽,
76', (Penalty Awarded),
82', 1 - 3, Komarov D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 0.

Recent form of Avangard Kursk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Strogino's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Avangard Kursk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Avangard Kursk is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kursk	29	8	9	12	32:45	-13	33
11	FK Strogino Moscow	29	9	4	16	35:51	-16	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.07.26	Avangard Kursk - SKA Khabarovsk 2	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Avangard Kursk - Spartak Tambov	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Avangard Kursk - Saturn Ramenskoye	6:3 ✺
20.06.26	Volna Kovernino - Avangard Kursk	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Avangard Kursk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT
- FK Strogino Moskva
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
25.07.26	Strogino Moskva - Volna Kovernino	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Rotor 2 - Strogino Moskva	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Salyut Belgorod - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Strogino Moskva - Oryol	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
12.04.26	Strogino Moskva - Avangard Kursk	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
09.11.22	Strogino Moskva - Avangard Kursk	1:1
11.05.22	Strogino Moskva - Avangard Kursk	2:1
09.04.22	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	0:3
30.05.21	Strogino Moskva - Avangard Kursk	3:2
29.10.20	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:0

Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva