FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Spring Season - Round 11
Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday
Location: Trudovye Rezervy Stadium (Kursk)
Avangard Kursk
Sibir Novosibirsk
1
X
2
4.27
3.58
1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)
4.27 ↑ (3.81)
3.58 ↑ (3.48)
1.71 ↓ (1.82)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avangard Kursk 21.3%
Draw 25.4%
Sibir Novosibirsk 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
26.1%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
25.4%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Avangard Kursk - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Eshchenko S. (G) 76. Ageev A. 3. Chibisov S. 71. Ivanteev A. 11. Khvastukhin K. 88. Khvat N. 23. Kuleshin I. 90. Pavlov D. 10. Pereverzev D. 96. Senik D. 14. Yamlikhanov R.
16. Savin A. (G) 11. Bakharev G. 9. Folmer K. 49. Karaev M. 20. Laptev V. 12. Marukhin V. 32. Medvedev A. 15. Redkovich D. 36. Shmakov I. 91. Stepanov A. 99. Tatarinov E.
Substitutes
18. Balitsky E. 69. Bykov D. 5. Kamenev D. 57. Konshin D. 25. Nekrasov A. 13. Skorobogatjko E. (G) 36. Skrypnikov D.
30. Alizade A. 8. Boyarkin N. 47. Furman K. 69. Ivanov A. 35. Kiselev M. (G) 90. Kobyalko A. 6. Kuzmin A. 21. Makurin A. 10. Rozhkov N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Kuleshin I. 🟨,
34', Marukhin V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tatarinov E. ↓, Rozhkov N. ↑,
63', Marukhin V. ↓, Furman K. ↑,
64', Senik D. ↓, Skrypnikov D. ↑,
64', Khvastukhin K. ↓, Balitsky E. ↑,
72', Stepanov A. 🟨,
72', Shmakov I. 🟨,
72', Redkovich D. 🟨,
72', Ivanteev A. 🟨,
74', Laptev V. ↓, Boyarkin N. ↑,
75', Bakharev G. ↓, Alizade A. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Skrypnikov D. (Pen),
85', Pavlov D. ↓, Konshin D. ↑,
86', Medvedev A. ↓, Kobyalko A. ↑,
89', Karaev M. 🟨,
90+3', Ageev A. ↓, Nekrasov A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Fall Season: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 2.
Recent performances by Avangard Kursk have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sibir is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Sibir is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
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Eshchenko S. (G) 
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