Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 2

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Orbita stadium (Kaluga)


	Kaluga		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	3.37	3.34	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.44)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	1.98 (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
26.9%

Draw
27.2%

Sibir Novosibirsk
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.7%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Kaluga - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eshchenko S. (G) 7. Akimov E. 33. Daliev D. 10. Grishchenko I. 18. Ivanushkin L. 5. Konovalov V. 91. Lukinykh E. 78. Mukhin E. 27. Muminov I. 59. Sherstobitov D. 32. Sokolov I.	35. Kiselev M. (G) 8. Boldyrev B. 2. Churikov I. 22. Kobyalko A. 23. Krotov A. 20. Laptev V. 10. Matskharashvili N. 3. Petrunin D. 4. Redkovich D. 81. Yangaev A. 31. Zotov G. (C)
Substitutes
77. Balashov K. 11. Balkizov A. 14. Chibisov S. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 3. Osadchiy I. 31. Pervakov N. 88. Tashaev R. (G)	30. Alizade A. 9. Chikanchi M. 16. Karmin A. (G) 5. Maksimenkov I. 21. Makurin A. 7. Popushoy A. 19. Zapalatskiy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Ivanushkin L. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Kobyalko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ivanushkin L. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
61', Akimov E. 🟨,
68', Grishchenko I. ↓, Pervakov N. ↑,
68', Akimov E. ↓, Osadchiy I. ↑,
68', Sherstobitov D. ↓, Chibisov S. ↑,
69', Mukhin E. ↓, Balkizov A. ↑,

Preview

Kaluga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sibir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sibir might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaluga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sibir Novosibirsk	12	5	3	4	17:14	3	18
10	Kaluga	12	0	6	6	6:16	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
19.07.26	Sokol Saratov - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Kaluga - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	3:0 ✺
07.06.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Kaluga - Irtysh Omsk	0:0 ✺
27.05.26	Rodina Moscow 2 - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLTW
- FC Sibir Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
19.07.26	Dynamo Vladivostok - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Veles Moscow	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Veles Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
13.06.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
07.06.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kaluga	1:0
19.04.26	Kaluga - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
07.06.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kaluga	3:0
20.04.25	Kaluga - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:0

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