Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 15

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Avangard Kursk		Spartak Tambov

	1	X	2
	8.05	3.95	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.05 ↑ (2.98)	3.95 ↑ (3.24)	1.38 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
11.3%

Draw
23%

Spartak Tambov
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avangard Kursk's form might have worsened.

Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Tambov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avangard Kursk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (-23.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Tambov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avangard Kursk - Spartak Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Sergeev M. M. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 0 - 2, Maloletov A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Spartak Tambov is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spartak Tambov	26	20	3	3	47:14	33	63
9	Kursk	26	8	8	10	31:38	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.06.26	Avangard Kursk - Saturn Ramenskoye	6:3 ✺
20.06.26	Volna Kovernino - Avangard Kursk	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Avangard Kursk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Rotor 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:2 ✺
30.05.26	Avangard Kursk - Kvant Obninsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWW
- Spartak Tambov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
27.06.26	Spartak Tambov - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Spartak Tambov - Rotor 2	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Kvant Obninsk - Spartak Tambov	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Salyut Belgorod	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
13.11.22	Spartak Tambov - Avangard Kursk	0:1
Russian Cup
14.09.22	Avangard Kursk - Spartak Tambov	3:2

Avangard Kursk - Spartak Tambov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide