Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ryazan		Spartak Tambov

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.85	2.20
	3.28	3.12	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3.06)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.23 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryazan
29.2%

Draw
30.3%

Spartak Tambov
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

30.3%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

30.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Spartak Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Tambov than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Maloletov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Evgenjev E. (Penalty Awarded),
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Kuptsov D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Evgenjev E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Glukhov E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Khabibov A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Shmarov A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Prokurorov A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Khabibulin A. M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mishutin M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sergeev M. M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shishkov R. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Petrov R. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Pogrebnev N. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Bogdaev M. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Barkov A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 0.

Ryazan has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Spartak Tambov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ryazan has had a series of away games.

Recently, Spartak Tambov has had a series of home games.

Spartak Tambov could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ryazan won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryazan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryazan
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Oryol - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
11.08.26	Kvant Obninsk - Ryazan	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Ryazan	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTW
- Spartak Tambov
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Zenit Penza - Spartak Tambov	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Spartak Tambov - SKA Rostov	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.08.26	Spartak Tambov - Strogino Moskva	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Spartak Tambov - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
20.06.26	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	1:2
15.08.25	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	0:0
27.04.25	Spartak Tambov - Ryazan	1:0
13.04.24	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	1:1
06.11.23	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
09.11.22	Ryazan - Spartak Tambov	0:0
18.09.22	Spartak Tambov - Ryazan	2:2

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