Match Info

Date: 8 July 2020, Wednesday


	Aves		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.83
	4.1	3.5	1.84	Watch
	4.4	3.45	1.81
	4.42	3.66	1.85
	4.5	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.44	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (4.06)	3.49 ↑ (3.38)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aves
21.6%

Draw
27%

Setúbal
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

27.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

17.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aves than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-20.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Setúbal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	12%	76%

Aves - Setúbal Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Aves will win (votes: 9 - 12%). Setúbal will win (votes: 57 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Setúbal: 66.3% – 85.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aves
Liga Portugal
04.07.20	Braga - Aves	4:0 ✺
29.06.20	Aves - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
21.06.20	Gil Vicente - Aves	3:0 ✺
16.06.20	Aves - Porto	0:0 ✺
11.06.20	Tondela - Aves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLLTL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Liga Portugal
04.07.20	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
30.06.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
23.06.20	Setúbal - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
18.06.20	Boavista - Setúbal	3:1 ✺
10.06.20	Setúbal - Santa Clara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.12.19	Setúbal - Aves	1:0
20.01.19	Aves - Setúbal	2:1
11.08.18	Setúbal - Aves	2:0
29.03.18	Aves - Setúbal	1:4
03.11.17	Setúbal - Aves	0:1

Aves - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide