Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Setúbal		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.66
	4.6	3.6	1.63	Watch
	5.25	3.35	1.61
	4.6	3.6	1.65
	5.14	3.54	1.68
	5.25	3.5	1.63
	4.9	3.8	1.63	Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.81)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
18.7%

Draw
25.7%

Paços de Ferreira
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.1%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

17.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Setúbal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Setúbal will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paços de Ferreira: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 2.

Setúbal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paços de Ferreira is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Paços de Ferreira is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
08.10.22	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Setúbal - Vilar de Perdizes	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.09.22	Setúbal - Caldas	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Fontinhas - Setúbal	2:2 ✺
28.08.22	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTW
- Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal
08.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Paços de Ferreira - Arouca	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Paços de Ferreira - Casa Pia	2:3 ✺
05.09.22	Boavista - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.07.20	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:3
08.12.19	Paços de Ferreira - Setúbal	2:3
18.02.18	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	1:0
15.09.17	Paços de Ferreira - Setúbal	1:0
19.02.17	Paços de Ferreira - Setúbal	2:1
17.09.16	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	1:4
14.05.16	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	0:0

Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide