Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Chełmianka Chełm

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.98
	2.07	3.6	3.01	Watch
	2.06	3.7	3.09	Watch
	2.07	3.41	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	3.55 ↑ (3.41)	2.98 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
44%

Draw
25.5%

Chełmianka Chełm
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 0.

Avia Świdnik is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chełmianka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Avia Świdnik might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	11	8	3	0	18:5	13	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.03.26	Avia Świdnik - Cracovia 2	4:0 ✺
21.03.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Avia Świdnik - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Avia Świdnik	0:6 ✺
Polish Cup
05.03.26	Avia Świdnik - Raków Częstochowa	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWL
- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.03.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Świdniczanka Świdnik	6:1 ✺
21.03.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Stal Kraśnik	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Czarni Połaniec - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Wisła II Kraków	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:1
26.03.25	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	2:3
10.08.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:0
19.05.24	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	0:2
28.10.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	2:2
24.05.23	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	0:1
22.10.22	Avia Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:0

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