Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Avia Świdnik		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.45	3.15
	1.98	3.46	3.22
	2.12	3.59	2.98	Watch
	2.04	3.77	2.96	Watch
	2	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.99)	3.6 ↑ (3.36)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
45%

Draw
25.3%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

26.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

25.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski than the current prediction. (-2%)

Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Marcinkowski E. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Belych Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 2, Uliczny P. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 3.

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Avia Świdnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Avia Świdnik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Avia Świdnik - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 44.84%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.25	Wisła II Kraków - Avia Świdnik	2:3 ✺
22.08.25	Avia Świdnik - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	4:0 ✺
15.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Avia Świdnik	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Avia Świdnik	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Avia Świdnik - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Czarni Połaniec	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Naprzód Jędrzejów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Wiślanie Skawina	5:1 ✺
09.08.25	Wisłoka Dębica - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.05.25	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	3:2
Club Friendly
25.01.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Avia Świdnik	1:5
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.11.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Avia Świdnik	1:1
02.03.24	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1
12.08.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Avia Świdnik	1:2
Club Friendly
08.07.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Avia Świdnik	0:2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.03.23	Avia Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:0

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