Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 28

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	18:00	TV7


	Aviron Bayonnais		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	2.52	3	2.62
	2.5	2.92	2.71
	2.61	2.82	2.81	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.63
	2.5	3	2.75
	2.63	2.9	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.63)	2.9 (2.9)	2.63 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aviron Bayonnais
35.2%

Draw
30.9%

Bordeaux
34%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

29.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2).

Aviron Bayonnais is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bordeaux has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aviron Bayonnais may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aviron Bayonnais won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aviron Bayonnais FC
French National 1 - Group A
25.04.26	Avranches - Aviron Bayonnais	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Les Herbiers	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Granville	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Aviron Bayonnais - La Roche VF	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Montlouis - Aviron Bayonnais	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWL
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French National 1 - Group A
25.04.26	Bordeaux - Montlouis	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Dinan-Léhon - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bordeaux - Lorient II	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	St Colomban-Locminé - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Bordeaux - Chauray	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
10.01.26	Bordeaux - Aviron Bayonnais	1:0

Aviron Bayonnais - Bordeaux