Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 27

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	TV7


	Bordeaux		Montlouis

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.15	6.1
	1.38	4.17	6.21
	1.06	10.15	22.20	Watch
	1.4	3.8	6.5
	1.39	4.25	6.82
	1.35	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	5.09 ↑ (4)	8.94 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
70.9%

Draw
18.6%

Montlouis
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.5%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

17.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bordeaux's performance.

Montlouis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bordeaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montlouis than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montlouis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bordeaux - Montlouis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 🟥,
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 11).

Bordeaux has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montlouis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bordeaux is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bordeaux won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montlouis	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French National 1 - Group A
18.04.26	Dinan-Léhon - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bordeaux - Lorient II	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	St Colomban-Locminé - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Bordeaux - Chauray	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	La Roche VF - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- FC Montlouis
French National 1 - Group A
18.04.26	Montlouis - Avranches	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Les Herbiers - Montlouis	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Montlouis - Aviron Bayonnais	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Montlouis - Granville	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Dinan-Léhon - Montlouis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
13.12.25	Montlouis - Bordeaux	2:2

Bordeaux - Montlouis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide