Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Avispones de Chilpancingo		Halcones

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.2	1.43
	3.43	3.72	1.83
	3.97	3.44	1.8
	5.8	4.1	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (3.78)	3.87 ↑ (3.14)	1.62 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispones de Chilpancingo
19.4%

Draw
23.8%

Halcones
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

29%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

27.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispones de Chilpancingo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Halcones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Halcones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispones de Chilpancingo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halcones than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Halcones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avispones de Chilpancingo - Halcones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ayala J. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Ayala J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, ⚽,
82', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6).

Chilpancingo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Halcones has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Halcones is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispones de Chilpancingo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.09.25	Lobos ULMX - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Real Apodaca	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Santiago - Avispones de Chilpancingo	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Zacatepec Siglo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLL
- Halcones FC Mexico
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.09.25	Halcones - Santiago	4:0 ✺
20.09.25	Zacatepec Siglo - Halcones	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Halcones - Canamy	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Ciervos - Halcones	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Halcones - Correcaminos UAT 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWT

Avispones de Chilpancingo - Halcones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide