The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avondale 40.2%
Draw 26.1%
Heidelberg United 33.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
25.1%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
26.2%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avondale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avondale's form might have worsened.
Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidelberg United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avondale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidelberg United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avondale - Heidelberg United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 1.
Recent form of Avondale has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Heidelberg United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Heidelberg United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Avondale is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Avondale won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.9:1.9).
Watch
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