Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 18

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Frank Holohan Soccer Complex (Dandenong)


	Dandenong City		Avondale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.60	4.10	1.58
	4.00	3.85	1.63
	5.00	4.55	1.57
	2.31	3.60	2.75	Watch
	4.60	4.50	1.53
	4.68	4.37	1.60	Watch
	4.40	3.95	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (6.1)	4.13 ↓ (4.4)	1.75 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong City
22.5%

Draw
23.1%

Avondale
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

20.2%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

19.9%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandenong City's performance.

Avondale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avondale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandenong City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avondale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dandenong City - Avondale Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dandenong City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avondale will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Avondale is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.8:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
20.06.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - Dandenong City	3:2 ✺
05.06.26	Dandenong City - Heidelberg United	4:1 ✺
30.05.26	Melbourne City Youth - Dandenong City	0:1 ✺
22.05.26	Dandenong City - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Dandenong City - Oakleigh Cannons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 LWWWT
- Avondale FC
Australian NPL Victoria
20.06.26	Avondale - Dandenong Thunder	11:0 ✺
05.06.26	Green Gully - Avondale	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Avondale - Bentleigh Greens	4:0 ✺
25.05.26	South Melbourne - Avondale	0:4 ✺
16.05.26	Hume City - Avondale	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
14.03.26	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:1
07.09.25	Avondale - Dandenong City	0:1
19.07.25	Avondale - Dandenong City	1:1
04.04.25	Dandenong City - Avondale	0:3
17.05.24	Dandenong City - Avondale	0:1
09.02.24	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:3
30.07.22	Dandenong City - Avondale	3:1

Dandenong City - Avondale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide