Match Info

NPL Victoria Women - Round 23

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Avondale		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.80	3.75
	1.7	3.75	3.95
	1.7	3.84	4.1
	1.7	3.91	4.09
	1.69	3.8	3.95
	1.8	3.7	3.91
	1.69	3.7	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.38)	3.79 ↑ (3.5)	3.95 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avondale
53.1%

Draw
24%

South Melbourne
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

23.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avondale's performance.

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Melbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avondale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Melbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avondale - South Melbourne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs: ) and 6)

Avondale is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

South Melbourne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Avondale could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avondale FC Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
25.07.26	Heidelberg United - Avondale	0:4 ✺
17.07.26	Avondale - Preston Lions	3:0 ✺
10.07.26	Bentleigh Greens - Avondale	0:3 ✺
03.07.26	Avondale - Essendon Royals	4:2 ✺
27.06.26	Melbourne City U20 - Avondale	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- South Melbourne Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
25.07.26	South Melbourne - Bulleen Lions	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Alamein - South Melbourne	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	South Melbourne - Spring Hills	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Boroondara Eagles - South Melbourne	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	South Melbourne - Box Hill United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTWLT

Avondale - South Melbourne

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Avondale - South Melbourne Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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