Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ayamonte		Ceuta B

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Ayamonte
41.6%

Draw
31.3%

Ceuta B
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

32.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ceuta B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayamonte than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayamonte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceuta B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Ayamonte is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ayamonte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayamonte CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.12.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Ayamonte	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Sevilla C - Ayamonte	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Ayamonte - Coria CF	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Gerena - Ayamonte	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Ayamonte - Pozoblanco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLTTW
- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.12.22	Ceuta B - Sevilla C	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Coria CF - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Ceuta B - Gerena	0:0 ✺
19.11.22	Pozoblanco - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Ceuta B - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTLT

Ayamonte - Ceuta B