Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 17

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Ceuta B		Gerena

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.67	2.75	2.67
	2.67	2.75	2.68
	2.64	2.92	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.3)	2.81 ↑ (2.8)	2.65 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta B
34%

Draw
32%

Gerena
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceuta B's form might have worsened.

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gerena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta B than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceuta B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gerena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 11).

Recent matches Ceuta B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gerena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceuta B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ceuta B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceuta B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ceuta B - Ayamonte	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Coria CF - Ceuta B	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Ceuta B - La Palma	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTWT
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Córdoba B - Gerena	1:0 ✺
06.12.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
19.03.23	Gerena - Ceuta B	2:0
26.11.22	Ceuta B - Gerena	0:0
12.03.22	Ceuta B - Gerena	2:1
13.11.21	Gerena - Ceuta B	1:0

Ceuta B - Gerena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide