Match Info

Division 2 - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Ayia Napa		Nea Salamis

	1	X	2
	5.9	3.75	1.48
	5.7	3.97	1.53
	13.52	8.10	1.12	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.5
	6.66	4.1	1.46
	5.33	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.1 ↑ (5.7)	4.5 ↑ (3.7)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayia Napa
13.4%

Draw
21.1%

Nea Salamis
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

24.3%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

24.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayia Napa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nea Salamis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayia Napa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-5%)

Ayia Napa - Nea Salamis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nea Salamis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Anthimou K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Louka P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayia Napa won 0.

Ayia Napa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nea Salamis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Ayia Napa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Nea Salamis has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nea Salamis is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ayia Napa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:26. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ayia Napa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ayia Napa	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayia Napa
Cypriot Division 2
08.02.26	ASIL Lysi - Ayia Napa	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Ayia Napa - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	MEAP Nisou - Ayia Napa	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Omonia 29is Maiou - Ayia Napa	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	ASIL Lysi - Ayia Napa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWTT
- Nea Salamis
Cypriot Division 2
07.02.26	Nea Salamis - Omonia 29is Maiou	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Doxa Katokopias - Nea Salamis	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Nea Salamis - PAEEK	4:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
21.01.26	Nea Salamis - Digenis Akritas Morphou	2:3 penalties ✺
Cypriot Division 2
18.01.26	Nea Salamis - MEAP Nisou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Division 2
03.01.26	Ayia Napa - Nea Salamis	0:2
26.02.22	Ayia Napa - Nea Salamis	0:2
30.10.21	Nea Salamis - Ayia Napa	4:1
Club Friendly
27.09.19	Nea Salamis - Ayia Napa	6:1
Cypriot First Division
23.12.15	Nea Salamis - Ayia Napa	2:2
13.09.15	Ayia Napa - Nea Salamis	1:3
26.04.15	Nea Salamis - Ayia Napa	3:0

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