Match Info

Division 2 - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Makario Stadium (Nicosia)


	Doxa Katokopias		Nea Salamis

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.05	1.88
	4.23	3.2	1.86
	4	2.9	1.85
	4.44	3.18	1.85
	4.33	3.14	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.55)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doxa Katokopias
21.7%

Draw
29.3%

Nea Salamis
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30.8%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

30.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doxa Katokopias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nea Salamis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doxa Katokopias than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Doxa Katokopias - Nea Salamis Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Doxa Katokopias will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Nea Salamis will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Doxa Katokopias (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Doxa Katokopias (2.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Doxa Katokopias (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Louka P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 2, Aldair ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doxa Katokopias won 2.

Doxa Katokopias is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nea Salamis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Doxa Katokopias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nea Salamis has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nea Salamis is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Doxa Katokopias won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Doxa Katokopias won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Doxa	2	1	1	0	5:4	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doxa Katokopias
Cypriot Division 2
24.01.26	ASIL Lysi - Doxa Katokopias	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ethnikos Latsion - Doxa Katokopias	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Doxa Katokopias - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Doxa Katokopias - PAEEK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL
- Nea Salamis
Cypriot Division 2
25.01.26	Nea Salamis - PAEEK	4:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
21.01.26	Nea Salamis - Digenis Akritas Morphou	2:3 penalties ✺
Cypriot Division 2
18.01.26	Nea Salamis - MEAP Nisou	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Nea Salamis - APEA Akrotiri	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ayia Napa - Nea Salamis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot Division 2
12.09.25	Doxa Katokopias - Nea Salamis	0:1
Cypriot Cup
02.10.24	Nea Salamis - Doxa Katokopias	1:0
Cypriot First Division
19.04.24	Doxa Katokopias - Nea Salamis	1:0
07.03.24	Nea Salamis - Doxa Katokopias	0:1
11.02.24	Doxa Katokopias - Nea Salamis	0:3
11.11.23	Nea Salamis - Doxa Katokopias	2:0
23.05.23	Doxa Katokopias - Nea Salamis	0:1

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