Match Info

THAILAND: Thai League 2 - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	True Ball Thai 6


	Ayutthaya United		Kasetsart

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.7	5.6
	1.6	3.55	4.96
	1.56	3.74	5.57	Watch
	1.66	3.52	5.18	Watch
	1.54	3.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.85)	3.64 ↑ (3.25)	5.38 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayutthaya United
57.9%

Draw
25.1%

Kasetsart
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

28.2%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayutthaya United's performance.

Kasetsart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kasetsart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayutthaya United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasetsart than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Ayutthaya United - Kasetsart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Caique Lemes (Pen),
69', 2 - 0, Kaewcharoen N. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Brinner ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayutthaya United won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kasetsart could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ayutthaya United is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ayutthaya United won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Ayutthaya United won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 2
12.02.25	Trat - Ayutthaya United	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ayutthaya United - Chanthaburi	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Chonburi - Ayutthaya United	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Ayutthaya United - Chainat	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Police Tero - Ayutthaya United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWT
- Kasetsart FC
Thai League 2
12.02.25	Kasetsart - Pattaya United	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Kasetsart - Bangkok FC	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Kanchanaburi - Kasetsart	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Kasetsart - Suphanburi	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Lampang - Kasetsart	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
20.10.24	Kasetsart - Ayutthaya United	0:0
28.01.24	Kasetsart - Ayutthaya United	1:3
16.09.23	Ayutthaya United - Kasetsart	1:1
30.04.23	Kasetsart - Ayutthaya United	3:2
13.08.22	Ayutthaya United - Kasetsart	2:0
03.04.22	Ayutthaya United - Kasetsart	1:1
17.11.21	Kasetsart - Ayutthaya United	0:2

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