Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Sukhothai		Ayutthaya United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.36	2.33
	2.87	3.46	2.23	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.94	3.18	2.24	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.56)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.28 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sukhothai
31.8%

Draw
28.2%

Ayutthaya United
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.2%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ayutthaya United (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Ayutthaya United (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 27. Thumporn T. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 25. Otton C. 95. Barreto 5. Romeu 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 70. Mateusinho 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S.	1. Makemusik W. (G) 5. Changthong A. 6. Wellington Priori 2. Hwang Hyun-Soo 47. Tamma C. 28. Promsomboon N. 10. Diego Carioca 8. Worasut N. (C) 36. Islame Y. 17. Laptrakul C. 9. Conrado
Substitutes
8. Aranpiroj R. 21. Denman A. 11. Gildo 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 24. Jansuwan P. 39. Jantrapho A. 29. Khamphaeng P. 2. Logarwit S. 9. Paredes J. 19. Phatthaphon P. 3. Suksakit P. 7. Thiamrat L.	34. Aon-pean V. 88. Baek Sung-Dong 23. Biaothungoi P. 7. Bunsan K. 77. Caique Lemes 29. Dechmitr S. 11. Kasemkulwirai K. 4. Leddel N. 25. Naengwongsa N. (G) 24. Namwech W. 22. Pombuppha C. 53. Raksongkham C.
Coaches
Chalitaporn A.	Siriwattanasart J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Otton C. ⚽,
14', Changthong A. 🟨,
25', Wellington Priori 🟨,
34', Laptrakul C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Changthong A. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
55', Tamma C. ↓, Bunsan K. ↑,
57', Mateusinho ↓, Jansuwan P. ↑,
57', Romeu ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Wellington Priori ⚽,
68', Chatthong S. ↓, Gildo ↑,
76', Islame Y. ↓, Kasemkulwirai K. ↑,
77', Worasut N. ↓, Baek Sung-Dong ↑,
78', Promsomboon N. 🟨,
84', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
84', Baggio J. ↓, Khamphaeng P. ↑,
88', Conrado ↓, Pombuppha C. ↑,
90+1', Phatthaphon P. 🟨,
90+8', Bunsan K. 🟨,
90+9', Bunsan K. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Sukhothai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ayutthaya United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sukhothai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ayutthaya Utd	3	2	0	1	4:3	1	6
12	Sukhothai	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
01.02.26	Sukhothai - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.01.26	Thap Luang United - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
25.01.26	Lamphun Warriors - Sukhothai	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sukhothai - Prachuap	0:0 ✺
Thai FA Cup
14.01.26	Lamphun Warriors - Sukhothai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
31.01.26	Ayutthaya United - Rayong FC	1:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.01.26	Thai Port - Ayutthaya United	2:1 ✺
Thai League 1
24.01.26	Chiangrai United - Ayutthaya United	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ayutthaya United - Uthai Thani	0:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
14.01.26	Ayutthaya United - Uttaradit Saksiam	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
04.10.25	Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai	1:1
Thai League 2
30.04.22	Ayutthaya United - Sukhothai	1:2
05.09.21	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	5:0

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