Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Ayutthaya United		Ranong United

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.75
	1.4	4.15	7.6	Watch
	1.37	4.3	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.22 ↑ (3.5)	7.18 ↑ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayutthaya United
65.8%

Draw
21.6%

Ranong United
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

25.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

16.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ranong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-25.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayutthaya United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ranong United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ranong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ayutthaya United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ranong is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ranong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ayutthaya United is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayutthaya United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayutthaya United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 2
18.02.23	Nakhon Pathom United - Ayutthaya United	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Ayutthaya United - Chainat	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Rajpracha - Ayutthaya United	0:3 ✺
29.01.23	Ayutthaya United - Udon Thani	2:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
25.01.23	Ayutthaya United - Prachuap	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWWL
- Ranong United
Thai League 2
19.02.23	Ranong United - Suphanburi	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Chiangmai United - Ranong United	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Ranong United - Kasetsart	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Nakhon Si United - Ranong United	5:1 ✺
22.01.23	Ranong United - Phrae United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 2
14.10.22	Ranong United - Ayutthaya United	1:2
24.04.22	Ranong United - Ayutthaya United	1:1
05.12.21	Ayutthaya United - Ranong United	1:0
24.03.21	Ranong United - Ayutthaya United	2:0
12.12.20	Ayutthaya United - Ranong United	3:1

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