Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 19

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Azkoyen		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.9
	3.4	2.88	1.97
	3.8	3	1.88
	4.57	3.28	1.72
	3.66	3	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.44)	3.03 ↑ (2.89)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azkoyen
23.4%

Draw
29.6%

Peña Sport
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

27.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azkoyen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Azkoyen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Azkoyen - Peña Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Azkoyen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peña Sport is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peña Sport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peña Sport will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Azkoyen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azkoyen
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.01.23	Burladés - Azkoyen	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Azkoyen - Oberena	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Beti Onak - Azkoyen	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Ardoi - Azkoyen	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Azkoyen - Huarte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
22.01.23	Peña Sport - Alesves	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Peña Sport - Burladés	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Oberena - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Beti Onak - Peña Sport	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	Peña Sport - Ardoi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
02.10.22	Peña Sport - Azkoyen	1:1

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